www.adamyoshida.com

Sunday, March 27, 2005
There Will Be War
It should be clear, even to a blind man, that we’re building towards something with China. China’s demand for resources appears to be growing at a geometric rate. The date at which its economy is anticipated to be larger than that of the United States is forever inching forward. And, if one thing is certain, it is this: there will be war.

I don’t know if it will be the nukes-flying, carriers-sinking sort of war that many of us fear in the dead of the night. But I know there will be war. More than that, I think we’re already in one.

We’re fighting the Chinese for the control of the world as the endgame of a process which goes back a hundred generations. China was a great power (perhaps the greatest power) before Moses led the Israelites out of Egypt. Due to economic, technological, and political difficulties China fell behind in recent centuries, but now it’s catching up and it is the West that is indisputably in decline.

This is a war which will decide the fate of humanity itself, for these are the generations in which man will first leave the Earth and in which the secrets of space and time will be revealed. This is the time, more than any other in all of human history, when one civilization will have the chance to truly and totally dominate the other.

Competition, especially between civilizations and great powers, is typically a zero-sum game. For someone to win, someone else to lose. Every bit of economic influence gained by China is a defeat for the West. Every word of Chinese spoken upon this Earth, every advance of Chinese culture, however small, is a defeat for the West. Every Chinese baby born to grow up to be a productive subject of China is a defeat for the West. When they win, we lose.

Here is an inalterable fact: the world can support the United States, with 5% of the world’s population, consuming a quarter of the world’s resources. It is physically impossible for China, with a population accounting for more than 20% of humanity, to do the same. We can find more resources, of course. But not that many more. The world’s resources are capable of supporting the American people and the rest of the people of the West in their present standard of living: they are not capable of supporting the people of the West and the people of China at the same standard.

This fact, fearful and inalterable, sows the seeds of future conflict. The two nations, together with the other rising nations of the Earth, cannot possibly enjoy the standard of living that each wishes at the same time.

We cannot yield out standard of living to them. We have no reason to. China has always been an inferior nation and deserves to be. We ought not surrender, we ought not compromise. There is no rational reason for us to consider sharing with the Chinese so long as any other option remains open to us. I, for one, am not willing to surrender the least part of my standard of living to help a billion and a quarter Chinese get what they want.

In these terms, we live in a zero-sum world. For someone to win, someone else must lose. I am inalterably determined that we should lose nothing and gain everything.

Of course, it seems doubtful if nuclear war would improve our material condition, so we must consider other options. Thankfully, several flaws in China’s development provide us with ample opportunity to do so.

To begin: China’s political stability is not everything we believe it to be. A closer examination of modern China shows that it is a nation of two hundred million relatively well-off people and a billion who remain in terrible poverty. They are still a very primitive nation in some ways, where the use of toilet paper is considered a mark of sophistication. This can be used to our advantage.

China is terribly combustible. From time to time it’s overtaken by some movement of rampaging lunatics, like the Red Guards, or the Boxers, of the rebels during the Taiping Rebellion. Some great madness sweeps across the land, consuming everything in its path. To put it mildly, the arrival of this contagion would be welcomed by myself at the present.

Of course, if it doesn’t wish to come naturally, we can always help it along. For example, the Falun Gong movement could potentially be infiltrated and, with enough Western effort and money, turned violent. China also suffers from problems with its own Moslems, some effort in this area might be profitably expended as well.

Of course the most obvious thing would be to fund the covert spread of fanatical Maoism and other, similar, doctrines. The degree to which China has become a classically exploitative capitalist state cannot possible be lost on all of those Peasants and, as Mao himself pointed out, Peasants do, truly, make the best of guerillas.

Of course, this alone won’t be enough. We’ve also got to consider the long-term future and expanding the battlefield. First: it means that, sooner or later, we’re going to have to get serious about exploring for resources in places other than the Earth. Second, it means that we’re going to have to begin to consider settling people on places other than the Earth.

But, most of all, we must be aware.

I’m from Vancouver, British Columbia. In case you don’t know, that means that I’m more than a little familiar with what the future could look like. I’ve seen it, and it scares me.

The Chinese are industrious, hard-working, and determined. They can, if they wish to do so, pull this thing off.
Wednesday, March 23, 2005
A Great Man, Much Maligned
The liberal press in Canada is taking great joy in the suffering of Lord Black of Crossharbour, a personal hero of mine. The actual owner of Hollinger Inc. (though, at the moment, he’s been stripped of effective control of that company) appears to be under siege these days.

In the last two days I’ve read, in the Canadian Press, at least three negative stories. One was about shareholders attempting to prevent Lord Black from converting Hollinger Inc. (which he presently owns 82% of) from a publicly-traded company into a private company. Another was about a criminal fraud investigation of Black by the US Justice Department. The third was about Black mortgaging his home in Florida as part of a dispute with the Canada Revenue Agency.

Now, off the top, I’ll admit that I’m not as familiar with the details of what Lord Black is accused of as some people. But I’m going to begin by telling you what I do know about the man.

I, as most of you know, am Canadian. I first began to truly read daily newspapers during the age of Black, when he controlled virtually every newspaper within reach. Not only did he own the Vancouver Province and Vancouver Sun but, in 1999, he launched The National Post, Canada’s first national newspaper with a conservative bent. At one time, Black owned a majority of the news I read. Not only did he own the locals, but he also owned London’s Spectator and Daily Telegraph, the Chicago Sun-Times, the Jerusalem Post, and a number of other newspapers all across the globe. Unlike his most similar rival, Rupert Murdoch, his holdings were concentrated in newspapers and those that he owned tended to promote his conservative views. More than that, unlike so many other newspapers, they tended to be interesting to read.

I think it can be declared, with reasonable precision, that the moment he left Canada was the moment that our press truly went off the cliff. As a Canadian I can say, of Lord Black, simply that he is missed.

It’s interesting to see the degree to which Black’s present troubles can be traced to the official harassment against him by Canada’s elites, most notably our former Prime Minister, Jean Chrétien.

This began several years ago, when Black was originally appointed to the British House of Lords. The Prime Minister, no fan of Black’s, invoked an obscure and eight decade-old law in an attempt to prevent him from accepting the honour. In response, Black renounced his Canadian citizenship in order to accept his title.

Events later forced Black to divest himself of his Canadian holdings. This was truly a sad day, for it marked the turn of the National Post towards what, for lack of a better word, may be termed as the “Canadian mainstream.” It was then that Black gave some advice that I took, but later regretted. Upon leaving he declared he was selling his holdings to the Asper family, well known for their Liberal Party connections, because it was clear to him that Canada was a one-party state and that the best option for those of the right would be to work with the right-wing faction within the Liberal Party.

Though I eventually found this course of action too personally distasteful to pursue (the events of early 2003 on gay marriage and Iraq making the Liberals too personally distasteful for myself to associate with), I’ve yet to see nothing to disprove the fundamental rightness of his thesis. That, after the Liberals managed to steal more than a hundred million dollars in taxpayer money and the Tories managed to turn themselves into essentially a carbon-copy Liberal Party, the Liberals still maintain a lead in the polls seems to me to provide proof of the eternal destiny of that party beyond any reasonable doubt.

The pursuit of Lord Black by various regulatory and law enforcement agencies is, to me, a prime example of the fundamental wrong-headedness of much modern thinking on law and order. There’s no real reason for the harassment of this man, beyond the fact that some people apparently do not much care for him on a personal level. He owns virtually all of Hollinger: it’s his bloody company. Absent the efforts of Lord Black (and his equally maligned friend David Radler) there’d be not Hollinger for anyone to invest in or make any money in.

Right now, the company has been essentially stolen from Black by a renegade board of directors as Hollinger International. Whatever abuses Black may or may not have committed, strike me as immaterial in view of the fact that he owns a controlling interest in the company. It’s his company; he ought to have a perfect to do with it pretty much as he wishes.

Of course, that’s a little extreme. And so, I suppose, were a few of Black’s actions here and there. Using $9 Million in company money to buy FDR memorabilia does, admittedly, seem a little over-the-top. But, then again, as I’ve said: no Black, no Hollinger, so who are the people who bought in to complain? If you buy into a company owned by someone like Conrad Black, you should expect them to behave like Conrad Black.

So, here’s to Conrad Black. May he overcome all of his enemies. We’re all a little poorer without his unique presence on the world media scene.
Sunday, March 20, 2005
China’s Future: Oil
China delenda est. I feel as though I’m going to be thinking about (worrying about) China for a very long time, so I might as well get used to it. Frankly, I feel more than a little like Cato the Elder. I expect that I’m going to be talking about China for many, many years. Decades, probably and that maybe, just maybe, I’ll end up getting as lucky as Cato in the end.

Where to begin? It’s impossible not to begin with the issue of China’s increasing economic power. While it’s difficult to figure out exact statistics as to the size of the Chinese economy (estimates vary wildly) their import figures speak for themselves. China is sucking in raw materials. One can only presume that they’re doing something with them.

Oil is, of course, just the beginning. But it’s also the most critical part. China needs massive quantities of oil. Within a few decades, it’ll need more oil than the United States. Odds are, based on what we’ve seen to date, that it’ll need more oil than America sooner than everyone thinks. All of those cars that all of those newly middle-class Chinese are going to drive are going to need fuel.

The real reason why oil prices are soaring is exactly this: China’s unending thirst for oil. China’s demand for oil is increasingly exponentially.

So, what’s to be done? Ultimately, we’re going to have to have an oil war with the Chinese. It’s going to be necessary to work out deals with every nation we can find to secure their oil and deny it to China. But, more than that, we need to consider several things.

First, it’s necessary to maintain oil security. Oil is vital for warfare. Not only should the United States continue to work to explore increased domestic sources of oil, but it’s also important to ensure that supplies are available for instant access. That means having active plans to seize foreign oil fields which have come under Chinese influence, such as those in Venezuela and Canada, if they continue to supply China during a military crisis.

That may sound extreme but, frankly, I don’t really care. If the United States needs oil in a crisis, it’ll get it. Period. It’d be best to plan for it.

On the same lines, it would probably be worthwhile to build up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as time allows. The more oil on hand, the less vulnerable the United States is (over the short-term) to a massive spike in world prices.

At the same time, we’ve also got to consider the need for alternative energy sources. I shudder at using the phrase. For me “alternative energy” draws to mind images of an unwashed environmentalist ranting about “Wind Power” and “Tidal Energy.” “Wind Power” might be good for some small town, but it’s not for a great nation like America.

What’s required is a national effort to create future technology, particularly in the area of fusion power and the like. Advanced technology is within the reach of the United States, and it offers a real chance to move ahead.

Now, there’s several ways to do this. Some would have direct subsidies. I propose a more market-based approach. The US Government ought to adapt the X-Prize approach to research, offering cash prizes in exchange for small verifiable steps in research.

At the same time, China’s own reliance upon imported oil must be considered one of its greatest weaknesses. The one area where China’s military power is absolutely and unquestionably incapable of competition with the United States is at sea.

The United States greatest advantage, therefore, is that is has a much greater capacity to cut off China’s oil imports by sea. The United States Navy could destroy China’s Navy and cut off any ability to ship oil into China by sea.

Energy is the fundamental building block of a modern economy. Without it, you can’t do much. With it, you have the chance for success. It’s absolutely essential that we prepare for conformation with China in this field.
Thursday, March 17, 2005
Some Fun DU Insanity
Wednesday, March 16, 2005
Two Years in Hell: Happy Deathday, Rachel Corrie
Well, it looks like it’s time once more to recall the story of the traitor Rachel Corrie, who has now been burning in hell for exactly two years. Frankly, I find her story very comforting: I take it as a sort of reassurance that, though the Lord cannot answer all of our prayers, at least he will occasionally take the time to remind us that, at the very least, he still has a sense of humor.

Now, I’m sure, some (even some who claim to be on the right) will send me e-mails insisting that there’s nothing funny about some woman being crushed to death by a Bulldozer. But, then again, I’m a fan of the Darwin Awards and, verily, if someone ever deserved one, it’s Rachel Corrie.

Some of you might not remember what the hell I’m talking about, so I’ll take a moment to refresh your memory. Rachel Corrie was an “American” college student from Washington State who traveled to Greater Israel as a member of the “International Solidarity Movement” (which is ostensibly a protest group of some sort, but which reportedly functions as a sort of terrorist auxiliary movement) for the purpose of defending Palestinian terrorists from the justice which is surely due to them.

This is the ISM’s game. So far as I can tell, their general policy is to run unarmed into combat zones and then cry when bad things happen to them as a result. According to the Anti-Defamation League, the ISM has a history of meeting with suicide bombers and shielding terrorists in their offices. As well, they’ve gotten into the habit of attempting to pull down sections of Israel’s security fence. That Israel doesn’t have a shoot-to-kill policy with regards to these morons is simply another lamentable example of that country’s excessive moderation.

The exact story goes something like this: on March 16, 2003, Ms. Corrie was protesting the demolition of a terrorist’s home (or perhaps it was a terrorist’s family’s home, I don’t really remember). During the course of this, she made the unwise decision to lie down in front of a bulldozer, with predictable results. Thereafter she became a martyr of sorts.

The revelation of pictures taken the day before her timely demise showing Ms. Corrie burning a mock American flag led to her beatification within a matter of days. The process of full Canonization will, I’m sure, be completed within a matter of years. Young leftists across the country will, I’m certain, soon be walking around with “Saint Pancake” medals around their necks. If we’re real lucky, they’ll, in tribute to this great hero, decide to follow in her great tradition and find other Israeli bulldozers to be crushed to death by.

A quick look around Google News finds reports of a few dozen memorials held around the United States for that woman. Undoubtedly, there were actually many more than that. I’m sure that many leftists out there (including her parents, who are now apparently suing Caterpillar, the maker of that instrument of the Lord) will take a moment to actually mourn the traitor.

Is “traitor” too strong a word? I don’t believe that it is. Ms. Corrie was indisputably disloyal to the United States. She spent the day before her last on Earth symbolically burning the American flag amid a crowd of Islamic fanatics. Her final act was to risk (and lose) her life in defense of terrorist-affiliated property. To say that these were not the actions of a patriot is a lot like saying that Liberace was slightly something other than straight.

What is standing alongside the enemies of the United States and burning a representation of the American flag if it is not treason? Joining with America’s foes to burn the American flag strikes me as a textbook example of what the Founders meant when they put the words “aid and comfort” into the Constitution.

That this “lady” is now honored by so many on the left is simply a sign of their utter depravity and immorality. If the left had even a single patriotic bone left in its body, they’d be as fierce in denouncing this sack of trash as the rest of us are.
Tuesday, March 15, 2005
Crime: The Conservative Path to Victory
If the Conservative Party of Canada really wants to form the next government (and, based upon their stumbles during the Liberal minority, that’s a big if) there’s one major untapped issue for them to tackle which, in my view, offers a near-certain hope of victory. That issue, simply, is crime.

If there’s one idea which unifies almost all Canadians, I think, it’s the idea that our justice system is fundamentally broken and requires mending. It’s the idea that criminals in this country are allowed to get away nearly scot-free and that honest and hard-working people are thereby forced to live in a country that it less safe than it ought to be.

Go to any Tim Hortons in the land and talk to the people. There is no single issue which causes more animated agreement than that of crime. Listen to any radio talk show in the land. There’s no subject which prompts a louder chorus of disgust and anger than crime.

Forget health care: forget whatever the polls say. If the Tories jump on the crime issue and stick with it, they’ll be the next government, possibly even with a majority. This is an issue which has the potential to devastate the Liberals, if only for a single election.

To begin: we need not even stake out an extreme position on the issue. For example, even though a majority of Canadians support the death penalty, I wouldn’t advise calling for it in the platform. I say that because, if it was in the platform, it would become the center of the argument and Canadians would quickly find themselves drowning in a river of Dead Man Walking-like mawkish sentimentality.

Instead, the Conservatives ought to embrace a common-sense platform on crime that virtually all Canadians could support. This platform should be the centerpiece of the Conservative campaign and could be used to counter Liberal cries about the Charter of Rights.

“Freedom from fear,” Harper should assert, “is the first right, and it is only with safety that we may enjoy our other rights.”

So, what should the Tories promise? A simple and moderate platform that looks something like the following should suffice:

1) Abolish mandatory release. Prisoners may be paroled only with good behavior.
2) Establish mandatory minimum sentences for all crimes of violence and various other crimes.
3) Mandate jail time (any amount of jail time, really) for a second offense other than a summary conviction offense.
4) Abolish the Gun Registry and use the money saved to hire 10,000 additional cops and put them on the streets.
5) Make a “life sentence” mean exactly what it sounds like it means.

The wonderful thing about this is that it casts the Liberals (and the NDP, and the Bloc) in the role of defending an unpopular group of people. Because many Liberals are actually liberal in fact, we can be certain that any number of Liberal MP’s and would-be MP’s will be more than happy going on the record in defense of rapists and murderers.
Sunday, March 13, 2005
BC-STV: What the Hell?
Ask a proponent of the British Columbia Single Transferable Vote system how it works and they’ll simply tell you, “it makes the system fairer.” This is the fundamental pitch of the supporters of BC-STV: “it’s fair.”

But how fair is it?

The question that British Columbians will be asked on May 17th is deceptively simple, “Should British Columbia change to the BC-STV electoral system as recommended by the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform?” But the system that those voting “yes” will be choosing is not.

Supporters tend to have an easy time explaining to people how you will vote under the BC-STV system. When you get your ballot, you’ll be asked to rank all (or as many as you choose) of the candidates on the ballot in order of your preference. So far as the proponents are concerned, that’s all you need to know. But, in my view, a citizen should not only know how they vote, but how their vote will be counted thereafter. That’s where this system falls down.

To begin: you wouldn’t be electing a single MLA, a district could contain anywhere from two to seven seats. Consider the simple implications of that for a just a moment. In BC at this very moment we have two major political parties, the BC Liberals and the NDP and two smaller parties of note: the Green Party and Democratic Reform BC. All of those parties can be expected to run candidates in a majority of ridings. Add smaller parties and independents to the ballot and it’s easily possible that you might have forty different people on a single ballot. Simply counting the candidates of the two major parties, a voter would have to familiarize themselves with the backgrounds and position of fourteen different individuals.

Several people I’ve talked to are of the impression that their votes for multiple candidates would be counted as votes are now for City Councils (meaning that all of the votes would be added up and the top vote getters would be declared elected). That’s simply flat-out wrong. Their votes would be counted by a process so extreme that it makes advanced theoretical physics look simple in compassion.

So: how are your votes actually counted? Well, I’m going to try and explain it to you in under a thousand words.

Let’s assume a theoretical riding with four MLA’s being elected (this, then, is a middle scenario, not the most complex one). There are four Liberal candidates, four NDP candidates, two Green candidates and one Democratic Reform BC candidate. I’m omitting any independent candidates for the sake of simplicity.

Let’s say that 130,000 people vote in this massive four-MLA riding. This allows us to make the first of our many calculations: we need to figure out what the “quota” is, the quota being the number of votes needed for a person to be declared elected. We figure out this number by dividing the total number of votes by the number of MLA’s to be elected plus one. In a riding where 130,000 people voted, the number would be 26,001.

Now we need to add up the first preference voters. Let’s say we have four Liberals (Liberal 1-4) who got 40,000 votes, 13,000 votes, 10,001 votes, and 9999 votes each (the first Liberals is a popular Cabinet Minister, the others are backbenchers). We have four New Democrats who got 20,000 votes, 12,000 votes, 10,000 votes, and 8000 votes. There are two Greens, who got 5000 votes and 1001 votes. And, finally, there’s a Democratic Reform BC candidates who got 999 votes.

To begin: Liberal candidate #1 is over the quota. That means that we now have to calculate their vote surplus. We do this by dividing the number of votes they got above the quota by the total number of votes they received. We then examine the second preference on each ballot and allocate those ballots to the other candidates at the percentage we received as the answer to the previous equation. In this case, it turns out that we’re going to be allocating the equivalent of 13,999 votes.

Now, after we allocate those votes, we find that no candidate is above the quota, so we now have to drop the lowest candidate off the ballot and reallocate their ballots at full value. As it turns out, that ends up being the second Green candidate.

We repeat this process many times (in the spreadsheet I came up with, we have to count the ballots an additional six times) before we get another candidate elected. As it turns out, the second candidate elected is the top New Democrat.

Here’s where another peculiarity of the system can come into play. The lowest ranking Liberal drops off the list, but their votes aren’t enough to put anyone over the top. Thus, we’re left with a list where the two lowest ranking candidates are both New Democrats and the top two candidates are Liberals.

We have a Liberal with 25,200 votes, a Liberal with 18,001 votes, a New Democrat with 18,648 votes, and a New Democrat with 16,149 votes. Because of this, the bottom New Democrat drops off the ballot. Almost all of their votes go to the other New Democrat, resulting in an NDP’er being the third candidate elected. Then, eventually, the votes will also shake up to put the Liberal with 25,200 votes over the top.

In other words, this “fairer” system isn’t even fair. 56% of people voted for a Liberal on their first preference versus 38% who voted for a New Democrat, yet we ended up with two Liberal and two New Democrats elected.

Don’t understand how I calculate the above totals? Don’t worry, no one else will either.

That’s what really worries me about the BC-STV referendum: people won’t understand it. There’s nothing worse for most people than something which obviously exceeds their capacities of comprehension. Rather than admit that they don’t really understand what he hell is going on, I’ll bet that a lot of people will find it easier to simply adopt the line that the system is “fairer” and hope that no one enquires farther.

This is an awful system. You shouldn’t need a massive spreadsheet to figure out how your vote was calculated. When the newspapers publish election results, they ought to be shorter than a Tom Clancy novel.
Monday, March 07, 2005
War for Resources?
Well, I managed to piss more than a few people off with my comments about Venezuela. On at least one site, my comments became transmogrified into, “Conservative Publication Calls for Assassination of Hugo Chavez.” If only, my friends, if only.

Frankly, despite the anger it inspired, I’m not really sure if what I wrote got across the point I was trying to make, so I’m going to give it another shot.

I think I let my hatred of Hugo Chavez get in the way. When, in the Summer of 2001, I had a chance to personally speak with a representative of the Organization of American States, I used my time to berate him about how, if Communist Cuba was not welcome in the OAS, then neither should be Chavez’ Venezuela. So I can date my hatred of the man back at least to that point. Of course, more accurately, I can date it to whenever the first moment I learned of the existence of Mr. Chavez and of his politics.

But, in truth, the real point of the column wasn’t about Venezuela at all. I need not again recite my litany of complaints about that nation: it’s support for Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda, its involvement in subversive activities all across South America, its alliance with China, etc (well, I guess I did just list them). The real point was to assert a fundamental doctrine: if the United States requires resources for the functioning of its economy and others seek to deliberately deny them access to those resources then the United States has the right to take them, by force if necessary.

I consider myself to be an advocate of asymmetrical warfare on the part of the United States. It makes little sense to me that we should confine trade sanction for trade sanction and trade blow only for blow. America has its power for a reason and will not long be able to retain its power if it fails to use it effectively.

Were Venezuela to sign some sort of exclusive trade arrangement with China and thereby harm the US domestic economy, American military action would be an absolute necessity. This is not for simply economic or punitive reasons, but for demonstrative ones as well.

More than a few of my “correspondents” (those, I hasten to add, who bothered to offer something beyond a burst of misspelled profanity) claimed that, if the United States took such action, the world would unite against it. While I believe that to be patent nonsense, it has a kernel of truth to it: if the majority of the world did unite against the United States, American options would be very quickly reduced to a choice between some kind of surrender and the creation of a “Fortress America.”

That’s what makes action against Venezuela so appealing. In order to prevent China from engaging in a sort of economic encirclement of America, we need to pick up the first crappy little country which tries to pull such a stunt and throw them up against the wall.

Frankly, I think that the roots of our present problems with the Islamists can be traced, at least in part, to the failure of the United States to respond firmly to the Arab Oil Embargo. Where no realistic option for economic retaliation exists, other possibilities need to be explored. If the United States had responded to the Arab Oil Embargo by picking one of the major Arab countries at random and smashing it to little pieces, I doubt if America would have suffered the economic dislocations that it did.

Economic acts of war invite military retaliation. This is a clear line that needs to be drawn. The United States should not recognize a distinction between acts of war involving arms and those which use economic, political, or diplomatic means. The United States greatest strength is its military strength and it should be exploited to the greatest possible degree to ensure the preservation of American power.

Now, there are two important questions to dispose of at this juncture:

First: what gives America the right to use force in response to an economic act of war, and do others have this right? Frankly, I would argue that the right to respond to an economic act of war with military force is one well-rooted in history. The War of 1812, a military conflict, came largely in response to British interference with American trade interests. Any number of British police actions in the 19th Century came about in response to various acts of economic aggression against British interests. The Opium Wars, to pick one example, came about directly in response to economic actions by the Chinese.

All nations clearly retain the right to wage war in response to acts of economic aggression, such as trade sanctions or blockades. This leads us into the second question, which came up a number of times.

If it is proper for a nation to wage war based upon economic motives, was Japan right to launch a war against the United States in 1941? The thing is, that’s the wrong question. It’s really two questions.

First: was the American oil embargo against Japan an “act of economic aggression” on a sufficient scale to justify a military response? I think it’s rather obvious that the answer to that question is yes. The purpose of the oil embargo was the cripple Japan’s economic output. By placing such sanctions upon Japan, the United States certainly accepted the risk of war. This was the right thing for the United States to do, but let us not delude themselves, it was certainly an act of aggression against Japan. It was, of course, an act of justifiable aggression, but I see no reason that should have particularly mattered to the leaders of Japan.

The second question is this: was it right for Japan to launch a war against the United States in response to the oil embargo? I think it should be fairly obvious that the answer is no. It was clear to many that Japan could not possibly win a war against the United States: it should have been clear to all. Wars, in my view, must be justified in terms of their cost. Nothing that might be gained out of a war against the United States could possibly justify the potential calamity of war. Similarly, it would be utterly foolish of the United States to launch a war against China for purely economic reasons for exactly the same reason: any gain that might be realized in a war with China would be entirely offset by the horrific toll of such a conflict.

“So,” you may ask, “are you saying that it’s ok to go to war against other nations for their resources, so long as they’re not strong enough to put up a fight?” The answer to that question, in short, is yes, it is.

I’m an old-fashioned imperialist: I’m not crazy. I’m not interested in seeing the United States involved in any war which risks America’s strength.

This brings us to another question raised by my critics: how do I reconcile these ideas with my ideas on human freedom? My answer is this: very easily.

I believe in managed freedom. People have freedom, yes, but they cannot cross certain lines. Man has freedom, yes, but not the freedom to murder. Nations have freedom, yes, but not the freedom to oppose the United States of America.

A world which will continue to be free must have an arbiter. There must be one single nation capable of commanding sufficient force to bring rogue states to heel, to avoid major conflict between the other powers, and to provide for a stable international economic system. That one state is the United States of America. You may think that to be unfair, but if you do I do not much care what you think. That’s the way things are.

Is the United States the world’s police force? Yes, in a very real way it is. It’s forced to assume the job due to the lack of a suitable alternative candidate.

And, just as the police have rights that ordinary citizens do not, so does the United States therefore have rights that ordinary countries do not. You cannot speed down a city street at ninety miles an hour: but the police can. You cannot break down your neighbor’s door, but the police can. The powers of the police are not unlimited, but they do have their privileges.

The United States plays the same function for the world that a Town Sheriff may have in the Old West. The United States doesn’t command sufficient power to confront every threat at once, or to wipe some out altogether. Instead, it has the power to keep order and to keep the most dangerous forces at bay, perhaps gradually eroding the power of those forces.

So: war for resources? Yes, under certain conditions. You may not like it (I’m not even sure if I like it, given some potential implications of the doctrine) but it must be an option.
Friday, March 04, 2005
War for Oil? Possibly
It’s not widely known, but the fourth-largest supplier of crude oil and petroleum products to the United States is Venezuela, which, in 2003, provided a total equal to about ¾’s of that provided by Saudi Arabia. A cut-off of oil supplies from that nation would send already-high oil prices into the stratosphere. Worse still: it’s entirely possible that, thanks to an increasingly-close relationship with China, Venezuela’s leftist President, Hugo Chavez, could cut off exports without harming his own domestic economy. In terms of ability and willingness to cause widespread harm to the United States, Chavez may be the single most dangerous enemy that America has today.

So: what is to be done? The coup, of course, has been the traditional American means for getting rid of Latin American leaders who forget their place in the natural order of things. This was already tried against Chavez in the spring of 2002 and horribly botched.

There were three major reasons for the failure of the coup, in my view;

First: though the plotters successfully captured Chavez they, for some insane reason, failed to immediately execute him. This, of course, allowed him to resume power once the plot had collapsed.

Second, the plotters failed to dispose of other major regime figures, most notably the Vice President.

Finally, action taken to suppress protests after the coup were weak and half-hearted. It may be politically incorrect to say so, but a coup isn’t a tea party: people have to die. I discuss this simply as a means of pointing out that I’m not entirely sure if there are people in Venezuela willing to launch a coup who have the courage to carry it through to the finish.

To begin: the consequences of any sort of Venezuela-China deal must be made extremely clear. Any attempt to interfere with the American economy by China and Venezuela would, in essence, be an economic declaration of war and would require an appropriate response.

Worse still, Venezuela has become increasingly aggressive within the region. In particular, it’s begun to play a major role in the ongoing FARC terrorist war in Colombia, funding the group and providing it with sanctuary.

Venezuela has acquired advanced military technology in recent years, most notably through a deal with Russia to purchase MiG-29 fighters. An assault on that country would be difficult.

Similarly, going to war with China over Venezuelan oil would be, in my view, at least slightly excessive.

However, I do have one idea. It’s a simple one: a naval blockade combined with air strikes. If the United States can’t have Venezuelan oil, than no one can. A relatively small force of the US Navy would be fully capable of cutting off any oil shipping on the part of Venezuela. US Aircraft, even tactical aircraft based in the Continental United States, would be able to destroy that nation’s air force and then, thereafter, hit at will targets of opportunity. At the same time, the US could work with other nations in the region to deploy forces in order to effect a regime change. Perhaps we might even manage to develop a made-in-Venezuela solution to the problems.

At the same time we must, of course, look for other options, short of war. In particular, we ought to consider the possibility of covert action.

Mr. Chavez appears to be the indispensable man in the regime. His assassination ought to become a paramount objective of covert US policy.

At the same time, other possibilities should be looked at. With his covert support of FARC, Chavez is practically waging war against Colombia. Perhaps they would return the favor.

Ultimately, we must be prepared for action and disdain passive measures. Hugo Chavez’ Venezuela is a dangerous and rogue nation. Worse still, it’s a nation with the capacity to harm the United States.

Iraq wasn’t a war for oil. But that doesn’t mean that such a war wouldn’t be appropriate under certain conditions. The United States needs oil. The United States is the leading superpower in the world. Any nation which attempts to interfere with the American economy is committing an act of economic warfare against this country. It should be the policy of the United States to respond to acts of overt economic warfare with acts of physical warfare. Any nation which attempts to withhold its resources from the United States for the purpose of sabotaging the American economy should be attacked and forced to acknowledge its inferior position.
Thursday, March 03, 2005
The Red Guard Emerges
If we can’t beat this Liberal Party now, Canada’s conservatives ought to give up and, recognizing Canada’s bi-national origins, look first to the baser side of our national character and next for a white flag. Going into their convention this weekend the Liberal Party is faced with a party base which is seemingly moving to the left of the NDP and a party leadership so directionless and confused that, if the recent actions of their official leader serve as any guide, they’re probably incapable of figuring out which bathroom to use without extended consultation with their spouse and/or life partner.

What we’re faced with now is a dangerous combination. We have a weak and directionless Prime Ministers whose only apparent goal is to retain the power that he is manifestly incapable of exercising. We have an opposition incapable of opposing anything that this Prime Minister does because they apparently fear the voters more than any other thing. And, finally, we have an increasingly leftist Liberal Party base which appears to be under the control of, well, no one.

Forget gay marriage, for a moment. We know that it’s going to happen. Martin is willing to whip the votes of his caucus, if necessary. Harper’s not willing to use the Notwithstanding Clause. The deal there is, sadly, done.

Now the question is simple: what comes next? There’s a strange sort of spirit about in the land. The Canadian left is emboldened by their victories on gay marriage, the Iraq War, and missile defense. Their exuberance leaves them eager for the next step, whatever it is, and every victory fuels their ardor. In my nightmares I see them as latter-day Red Guards, rampaging across the land in a bloody quest to purge all that fails to measure up to their standards of revolutionary purity. I see their apocalyptic sweep across out land destroying the last vestiges of decency and common sense. Trust me, friends: it will all end in tears.

To begin, the Liberal Party is playing a dangerous game with the United States. I don’t know if they’re doing it be design (because hatred of Americans does seem to go down as well in Canada these days as hatred of Jews went down at Oberammergau in 1930) or by accident, but the increasing provocation of the United States by our government only promises trouble. To begin: I think that we’re well into the process of instigating a trade war.

The rejection of missile defense isn’t premised on rationality: it’s based entirely upon a visceral hatred of the United States. America offered Canada full participation in a defensive shield, including the ability to bid for contracts, in exchange for nothing other than moral support. The Canadian response, so far as I can tell was, “fuck you, but defend us anyways.”

Of course, if we do manage to blunder into a trade war with the United States, we get into some very dangerous ground. The traditional refrain of the radical left, when it comes to trade with the United States, is that we ought to attempt to gain leverage by cutting off exports of power and water, on the theory that such actions would bring the United States to its knees.

The problem with that scenario is that it fails to project far enough into the future. Imagine, for a moment, that some hostile Canadian Government actually miscalculated badly enough to try such a stunt. What do you think that the government of the United States would do next? The Americans are not a passive or a gentle people when it comes to assaults against their country or their economy. Americans do not take kindly insults to their flag. Do you think that, under such conditions, the United States would really roll over and give Canada what it wants? Hardly!

If I were the President of the United States and some Canadian Prime Minister was foolish enough to try and cut off power and water shipment to the United States, my response would be swift and deadly: I would invade Canadian soil and physically seize power generation and water shipment facilities. I would order that deadly force b used if Canadian police, armed forces, or citizens attempted to interfere in such operations and I wouldn’t leave until the Canadian Government agreed to pay a large amount of cash as reparations and promised to never allow such an interruption again. If the Canadian government attempted to seriously resist, I’d depose it.

The United States is slow to anger but, once you have its attention, you’d best have either a thousand nuclear bombs or a space ship to take your to Mars if you wish to live. Those in Canada who take delight at hating Americans would do well to remember this.

Even allowing for the hope that the Red Guards will fail in their apparent ambition to bring on a made-in-Canada version of the apocalypse (think of it as being to the real apocalypse what a CBC movie is to a real movie), we can be reasonably assured that they will not be appeased in their ambition to turn Canada into a Continent-spanning version of San Francisco.

Among the crazier notions on the agenda for the Liberal Convention are legalized prostitution, legalized drugs, and seats in Parliament set aside specifically for Indians.

One should remember: these are the policies that actually made it to the convention. Only the Lord knows what sort of insanity was voted down along the way. These resolutions are, in essence, contestants in the party policy playoffs.

The thing that truly appalled me about the prostitution legalization resolution being put before the Liberal Convention wasn’t the idea, but rather the way in which it’s been presented. I know a little bit about what’s motivated the people in the Liberal Youth to propose the legalization of prostitution. More than anything else, they’re motivated by the (in my opinion flawed) belief that legalization will prevent a repeat of the actions of serial killer Robert Pickton, who managed to murder dozens of prostitutes over a period of many without anyone, well, noticing. So I get that.

What really bothers me is the wording of the resolution. The author complains that, “criminalizing acts related to the sex trade also perpetuates a negative social stigma surrounding sex trade workers” and declares that, “the sex trade is a profession central to the subsistence of many Canadian citizens who deserve the same workplace safety and social respect as any other member of our society.” This, ladies and gentlemen of the jury, is Looney-left stuff.

It is one thing to believe that legalizing prostitution will keep prostitutes or the radar of society and thereby keep them from harm. It’s another thing altogether to drive through the Downtown Eastside shouting, “You go girl!”

We all agree that the sex trade exists and that it isn’t going away. But I think that most of us would also agree that minimizing the number of women sucked into this evil world should be of the highest priority. I realize that talk about the “White Slave Trade” may be a little passé these days, but I do not believe that I could be fairly criticized if I assert that no rational person dreams (or should be encouraged to dream) of whoredom as a lucerative avocation.

The most humorous bit about the whole thing, of course, is that legalization won’t even help the women who those bold Young Liberals seek to assist. I do not wish to be crude, but the economics of a legalized prostitution business are not geared towards the utilization of the services of women of the sort who Robert Pickton killed. Unless we simply legalize solicitation on the streets (in which case, so far as I can tell, we’ll have achieved nothing at all), the majority of the women working in the segments of the sex industry with which we are concerned at the moment are going to have a very difficult time finding employment.

The only way that legalization, as they envision it, would work would be if it was combined with a major effort to sweep clean the streets of many of Canada’s cities. Of course, that could also be done without legalization as well so, therefore, my presumption is that the authors of this resolution would not be supportive of such a move.

On drugs, the proponents of the legalization of marijuana use the same arguments that all advocates use. “Pot,” they claim, “doesn’t kill anyone.” And so it doesn’t, so far as medical authorities are concerned. What they don’t mention, of course, is that anyone who did die as a result of the long-term use of the drug would, in all probability, have their death classified as “smoking-related” – tobacco smoking related. Cute, to say the least.

In any case, I don’t much care at this point if pot is legalized, on one condition: I shouldn’t have to pay for social services for any users of the drug. I wouldn’t hold your breathe on that one, though: not only does the convention was to legalize pot, but they also want to guarantee a minimum income to everyone in Canada a move which, I am certain, will be celebrated in every crack den in the land.

Of course, if most of the Liberals had their way, we wouldn’t have any “crack dens” anymore, since they’d all be owned by the government.

The Liberals seem to be believers in socialism of the vice. The addicts, they think, should own the means of their addiction.

If everything goes according to the present plan then in about ten years or so a British Columbian should be able to buy cigarettes and alcohol only from a government-owned liquor store, before going to a municipally-run gambling establishment to win money to buy crack cocaine from the Canadian Narcotics Distribution Authority on the way to a enjoy the deluxe oral service package from the local outlet of Erotic Services Canada/Services Érotiques Canada.

As time goes on, it seems, government in Canada is becoming indistinguishable from government by the Mafia. Like the mob, it seems, the government will soon run the drug trade, the prostitution trade, the booze business, and gambling. It’s no wonder that the big crime families reportedly have friends within our government.

So far as I can tell, the only distinction which will soon exist between being ruled by the Federal Government and being ruled by the Mafia is that the Mob would probably provide better services for lower prices and that the streets would be better policed.

Finally, I can’t shut up without saying at least a word or two on the absurd plan to set aside fourteen seats in the House of Commons for Indians. This has already been enacted in New Zealand, so it’s quite possible that they might try it here. In fact, if the Liberals are real smart, maybe they can remake the whole of the House of Commons in keeping with our self-image as a “community of communities.” To add to the Indians seats (which, inevitably, will be all won by the Liberals or the NDP) they can add a pair of safe Liberal seats allocated to the Tamil Tigers, another two for Moslem terrorists, and so forth, running down the list of every other Liberal interest group. Finally, they can split up white men and women too, while they’re at it, allocating them separate seats. All in the interests of our diverse mosaic.

If you’ll excuse me now, I’ve got to go throw up.
Wednesday, March 02, 2005
Missile Follies
What I find most humorous about the Liberal opposition to Ballistic Missile Defense is this: the same people pushing for the implementation of these policies are the same people who will be most deeply horrified about their ultimate consequences. Their decision to abandon our responsibilities for the defense of our homeland will lead, inexorably, to the loss of the sovereignty that they so value.

Those who harbor continuing delusions that Canada is relevant need only consider our present defense position.

The Prime Minister’s demand that he be consulted before the United States fires defensive weapons is absurd enough to make for a good Saturday Night Live Sketch.

FADE IN: A military command post, with fancy computers and massive lighted map displays.

TEXT: North American Aerospace Defense Command, Cheyenne Mountain, CO

A number of uniformed officers move about rapidly. A warning light suddenly goes off.

AIR FORCE MAJOR: General! General! We have a missile launch! Yongbyong Missile Field, DPRK!

Alarms ring. A track appears on the map showing the missile moving rapidly from North Korea towards North America. The General walks over to stand behind the Air Force Major.

CINC-NORAD: Do we have a course plot?

Another man at a nearby computer turns backwards to face the General.

AIR FORCE CAPTAIN: Initial impact estimate is CONUS, probably the Pacific Northwest.

CINC-NORAD: I initiate an attack warning. Get me the President.

CUT TO: The White House, Washington, DC

The red phone on the President’s desk rings. He picks it up.

PRESIDENT: Hello?

CINC-NORAD: Mr. President, we have a missile incoming. We request permission to release the ABM’s at Fort Greely for launch.

PRESIDENT: Hold on, General. We’ve got to follow our procedures. I’ve got to call Paul before we do anything else. Hold the line.

The President hits a button on the phone, and dials another number. Something picks up on the line.

EMERGENCY LINE: Bonjour, vous avez atteint la ligne de secours du premier ministre du Canada. Pour le service en français, pression une. Pour le service en anglais, pression deux.

The President looks up, mystified. Finally, he presses “0” in hopes of getting an Operator.

EMERGENCY LINE: Le service d'opérateur est seulement lundi disponible au vendredi de neuf AM à cinq P.M. et samedi d'onze AM à quatre P.M.. Si vous laissez un message nous serons sûrs d'obtenir de nouveau à vous aussitôt que possible. Si vous avez besoin de l'aide immédiate, écrivez la prolongation de la personne que vous souhaitez atteindre.

The President, angry, mashes a number of buttons.

EMERGENCY LINE: Bonjour, vous avez atteint le bureau de Monsieur Jaques LeClair, commissaire national pour Transgendered redresse. Je ne suis pas à mon bureau en ce moment, si vous laissez un message que je peux écouter lui.

The President tries again. This time he finally reaches the Prime Minister.

PRESIDENT: Mr. Prime Minister, we have a North Korean ballistic missile inbound, to hit somewhere in the Pacific Northwest. I’m calling you to consult.

MARTIN: We have to stand on guard against any hasty overreaction, Mr. President. It’s important that our response to this event reflect Canadian values.

PRESIDENT: Well, I was thinking that we’d, you know, shoot it down.

MARTIN: That’s the problem so many Canadians have with Americans. You shoot first and ask questions later. This missile hasn’t harmed any Americans. I don’t think the Canadian people are going to back unilateral and preemptive action against the military of a country that has yet to murder a single American today.

PRESIDENT: Yah-huh. I still think we’d better shoot it down.

MARTIN: I plead with you, Mr. President, don’t resort to force without thinking. It’s very important that we exhaust all diplomatic options before using military force. I think we need to seriously consider asking the opinion of the United Nations before we doing anything excessive.

PRESIDENT: Paul, yeah, we’re going to shoot it down.

MARTIN: Please, Mr. President, don’t do this! We should at least talk to the North Koreans before we take any precipitous action!

PRESIDENT (INCREDULOUS): You want us to talk to the North Koreans? Now?

MARTIN: There’s still a possibility that we might be able to avoid the trauma of war! Have you considered the fact that, by shooting down their missile, you will grievously harm the self-esteem of the Korean people. You will render them mentally impotent!

The President hangs up the phone.
Does This Man Look Like a Leader To You?


Now, really, doesn't the man have advisors to tell him, "Paul, you really shouldn't sit like that?"

What kind of Prime Minister sits on the ground with his knees folded like that? It just strikes me as surpemely undignified. I can think of worse comments (and some have been made elsewhere) but, for some reason, I just wanted to share the picture because I think it says something about the smallness of the man.
Tuesday, March 01, 2005
The New Domino Theory
Freedom, it would appear, is contagious. Whether or not democracy triumphs in the Islamic world today or tomorrow or in ten years, it seems certain to me that President Bush’s declaration of the Freedom Doctrine on January 20th, 2005, combined with the Iraqi Elections of ten days later will forever be remembered as the time when the tide turned in favor of freedom and tyrants were, at long last, truly held to account.

Of course, it isn’t these things along. It’s an atmosphere of liberty which is toppling one wobbly tyranny after the other.

Freedom is on the march and tyrants fear the sound. We live in a world where the people rule. The brave people of the Palestine, Afghanistan, Iraq, Ukraine, Georgia, and Lebanon are showing us the way. And they’re doing it for one reason: they know that the most powerful nation in the world is a friend of freedom.

Would the people in Ukraine have resisted without assistance from the West? Probably. Would they have been successful? I’m not certain. Were not the words of the Europeans backed by the knowledge on the part of both the Russians and the Ukrainian Government that George W. Bush was in the White House, I suspect that the Orange Revolution would have had an unhappy ending.
And what of the others? Would Afghanistan have voted without the United States? It’s practically unthinkable. Would Iraq? It’s impossible. Would Lebanon’s people have risen without the example of their Iraqi brothers and sisters? I doubt it.

I’m a Republican, so it’s natural that I’m thankful that George Walker Bush is in the White House. I was thrilled by both of his election victories. But, these days, there are times where I literally get down on my knees and thank almighty God that George Bush is the President.

I didn’t always believe in him. Frankly, I’ve always leaned more towards realism and realpolitik. In many ways, I was sympathetic to the arguments of those who believed that the best way to confront Iraq would have been to smash the Saddam regime, install someone, and march out. But George W. Bush and the brave Americans who serve under him have shown the entire world what we have always known to be true: freedom is the most basic desire of all people

When I think of the sacrifices of the brave fighting men and women of both America and its allies, the fighting required to create the new Iraq, I sometimes think back to the words of Thomas Paine, “What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly: it is dearness only that gives every thing its value.”

These days the President looks strangely imbued. He is a man confident of the rightness of his cause and certain that the Lord is on his side. And so I believe he is. Sometimes, when I look at the President, I think of what the Bible says, “a prophet is not without honour, save in his own country, and in his own house.”

We’re winning the Global War on Terrorism. The terrorists may strike, but they cannot shake our resolve. They cannot beat us. They can only further demonstrate their depravity.

What do you think that people of Iraqi think about the “resistance” so glorified by Michael Moore and his ilk in the world media? Do you really think that those who indiscriminately slaughter the innocent will find support amongst the people? Do you really think that the people wish to be ruled by those who practice murder as a professional sport?

The Iraqi people and the people of the Islamic world are not fools. They may disagree with us on some things, but no one desires to be ruled by barbarians. While Western moral equivalency fetishists may be blind, the people of the Islamic world can see. Only the insane would, if given the choice, choose to be ruled by bearded lunatics who justify their depravity by spouting off versus of the Koran.

In this world, the people are sovereign. No government, even the most depraved and immoral, can long maintain its power without the acquiescence of the people. No government that has ever existed, even Stalin’s Russia or Hitler’s Germany, could have survived a mass popular uprising. After all, the soldiers who man the weapons are, themselves, a segment of the people. If a government survives, it is because the people are willing to accept its survival or are unaware of their own inner strength.

I realize that I’m starting to sound like a Marxist-Leninist here, preaching the power of the people and so on. And, in a way, I am: but in a very different way.
What I preaching is the evangel of popular will and individual rights. I envision a world revolution, yes, but not a revolution aimed at establishing a new tyranny. Not a revolution aimed at theft.

Rather, I envision a world of peaceful democratic states, led by that supreme champion of freedom, the United States of America, in peaceful cooperation and commerce. In envision a world united by a strong believe in the necessity of personal and economic freedoms. I envision a world where it is understood that the government, though necessary, must be restrained and that we live in a world of people who have governments, not governments who have people.

This is the new Domino Theory. When liberty arrives in one land, it will spread to others. It is inevitable, unavoidable, and right.
Tyranny cannot survive the age of mass communication so long as we are prepared to resist it. Now that the people know their own strength, they cannot be expected to abjure it.

As freedom spread to the lands of Communism, so too will freedom now spread to the lands of Islam. The spread of liberty is unstoppable for the simple reason that, in the end, it is the solution to the material wants of the world. Inevitably, free people are also rich people.

Freedom will march onwards. The question now, becomes, how we will safeguard our liberties and our plans for a perfect world from other enemies, those where the people, in their degraded condition, agree to accept the loss of freedom.